A new and simple score to predict adequate and deep response to ursodeoxycholic acid in patients with primary biliary cholangitis: the ALP-A score.

BACKGROUND: Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is the standard treatment for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), but a significant proportion of patients do not respond adequately, leading to increased risk of adverse outcomes. This study aims to develop a new and straightforward predictive score to identify PBC patients likely to achieve a complete response to UDCA. METHODS: A logistic regression analysis was conducted using a derivation cohort of PBC patients to identify pre-treatment variables associated with response to UDCA. This analysis led to the development of the ALP-A score, calculated as: Age at diagnosis divided by (alkaline phosphatase at diagnosis/upper limit of normal). ALP-A score accuracy was evaluated using the area under the ROC curve, validated with a large external cohort from Brazil. Additionally, the correlation between the ALP-A score and the previously validated UDCA response score (URS) was assessed. RESULTS: ALP-A score had good predictive power for adequate (AUC 0.794; 95% CI, 0.737-0.852) and deep (0.76; 95% CI, 0.69-0.83) UDCA response at 1 year of treatment. A cutoff score of 17 and 23 points was determined to be the optimal threshold for distinguishing adequate and deep responders, respectively, from non-responders. ALP-A score demonstrated a sensitivity of 73%, specificity of 71%, positive predictive value of 65%, negative predictive value of 78%, and overall accuracy of 72% for biochemical response. The URS displayed similar discriminative ability (AUC 0.798; 95% CI, 0.741-0.855). CONCLUSION: ALP-A score performs comparably to URS but offers the great advantage of simplicity for routine clinical use. It serves as a valuable tool to identify PBC patients less likely to respond to UDCA treatment, facilitating early consideration of alternative therapeutic approaches.

The effects of low-dose IL-2 on Th17/Treg cell imbalance in primary biliary cholangitis mouse models.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease. The imbalance of Th17/Treg cells has been reported in PBC patients. Low-dose IL-2 can alleviate disease severity through modulating CD4 + T cell subsets in patients with autoimmune diseases. Hence, the present study aimed to examine the effects and mechanism of low-dose IL-2 in PBC mouse models. METHODS: PBC models were induced in female C57BL/6 mice by two immunizations with 2OA-BSA at two-week intervals, and poly I: C every three days. PBC mouse models were divided into the IL-2 treated and untreated groups and low-dose IL-2 was injected at three different time points. Th17 and Tregs were analyzed by flow cytometry, and the related cytokines were analyzed by ELISA. Liver histopathology was examined by H&E and immunohistochemical staining. RESULTS: Twelve weeks after modeling, the serum AMA was positive and the ALP was significantly increased in PBC mouse models (P<0.05). The pathology showed lymphocyte infiltration in the portal area, damage, and reactive proliferation of the small bile duct (P<0.05). The flow cytometric showed the imbalance of Th17/Treg cells in the liver of PBC mouse models, with decreased Treg cells, increased Th17 cells, and Th17/Treg ratio (P < 0.05). After the low-dose IL-2 intervention, biochemical index and liver pathologies showed improvement at 12 weeks. Besides, the imbalance of Th17 and Treg cells recovered. Public database mining showed that Th17 cell differentiation may contribute to poor response in PBC patients. CONCLUSION: Low-dose IL-2 can significantly improve liver biochemistry and pathology by reversing the imbalance of Th17 and Treg cells, suggesting that it may be a potential therapeutic target for PBC.

Immunosuppression induces regression of fibrosis in primary biliary cholangitis with moderate-to-severe interface hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: In patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) treated with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), the presence of moderate-to-severe interface hepatitis is associated with a higher risk of liver transplantation and death. This highlights the need for novel treatment approaches. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether combination therapy of UDCA and immunosuppressant (IS) was more effective than UDCA monotherapy. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter study involving PBC patients with moderate-to-severe interface hepatitis who underwent paired liver biopsies. Firstly, we compared the efficacy of the combination therapy with UDCA monotherapy on improving biochemistry, histology, survival rates, and prognosis. Subsequently we investigated the predictors of a beneficial response. RESULTS: This retrospective cohort study with prospectively collected data was conducted in China from January 2009 to April 2023. Of the 198 enrolled patients, 32 underwent UDCA monotherapy, while 166 received combination therapy, consisting of UDCA combined with prednisolone, prednisolone plus mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), or prednisolone plus azathioprine (AZA). The monotherapy group was treated for a median duration of 37.6 months (IQR 27.5-58.1), and the combination therapy group had a median treatment duration of 39.3 months (IQR 34.5-48.8). The combination therapy showed a significantly greater efficacy in reducing fibrosis compared to UDCA monotherapy, with an 8.3-fold increase in the regression rate (from 6.3% to 52.4%, P < 0.001). Other parameters, including biochemistry, survival rates, and prognosis, supported its effectiveness. Baseline IgG >1.3 × ULN and ALP <2.4 × ULN were identified as predictors of regression following the combination therapy. A predictive score named FRS, combining these variables, accurately identified individuals achieving fibrosis regression with a cut-off point of ≥ -0.163. The predictive value was validated internally and externally. CONCLUSION: Combination therapy with IS improves outcomes in PBC patients with moderate-to-severe interface hepatitis compared to UDCA monotherapy. Baseline IgG and ALP are the most significant predictors of fibrosis regression. The new predictive score, FRS, incorporating baseline IgG and ALP, can effectively identify individuals who would benefit from the combination therapy.

Evaluation of potential hepatic recompensation criteria in patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Aetiological therapy improves liver function and may enable hepatic recompensation in decompensated cirrhosis. AIMS: We explored the potential for recompensation in patients with decompensated primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) - considering a biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) according to Paris-II criteria as a surrogate for successful aetiological treatment. METHODS: Patients with PBC were retrospectively included at the time of first decompensation. Recompensation was defined as (i) resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) despite discontinuation of diuretic/HE therapy, (ii) absence of variceal bleeding and (iii) sustained liver function improvement. RESULTS: In total, 42 patients with PBC with decompensated cirrhosis (age: 63.5 [IQR: 51.9-69.2] years; 88.1% female; MELD-Na: 13.5 [IQR: 11.0-15.0]) were included and followed for 41.9 (IQR: 11.0-70.9) months after decompensation. Seven patients (16.7%) achieved recompensation. Lower MELD-Na (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 0.90; p = 0.047), bilirubin (SHR per mg/dL: 0.44; p = 0.005) and alkaline phosphatase (SHR per 10 U/L: 0.67; p = 0.001) at decompensation, as well as variceal bleeding as decompensating event (SHR: 4.37; p = 0.069), were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. Overall, 33 patients were treated with UDCA for ≥1 year and 12 (36%) achieved Paris-II response criteria. Recompensation occurred in 5/12 (41.7%) and in 2/21 (9.5%) patients with vs. without UDCA response at 1 year, respectively. Recompensation was linked to a numerically improved transplant-free survival (HR: 0.46; p = 0.335). Nonetheless, 4/7 recompensated patients presented with liver-related complications after developing hepatic malignancy and/or portal vein thrombosis and 2 eventually died. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis may achieve hepatic recompensation under UDCA therapy. However, since liver-related complications still occur after recompensation, patients should remain under close follow-up.

A Phase 3 Trial of Seladelpar in Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: Effective treatments for patients with primary biliary cholangitis are limited. Seladelpar, a peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor delta agonist, has potential benefits. METHODS: In this phase 3, 12-month, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned (in a 2:1 ratio) patients who had had an inadequate response to or who had a history of unacceptable side effects with ursodeoxycholic acid to receive oral seladelpar at a dose of 10 mg daily or placebo. The primary end point was a biochemical response, which was defined as an alkaline phosphatase level less than 1.67 times the upper limit of the normal range, with a decrease of 15% or more from baseline, and a normal total bilirubin level at month 12. Key secondary end points were normalization of the alkaline phosphatase level at month 12 and a change in the score on the pruritus numerical rating scale (range, 0 [no itch] to 10 [worst itch imaginable]) from baseline to month 6 among patients with a baseline score of at least 4 (indicating moderate-to-severe pruritus). RESULTS: Of the 193 patients who underwent randomization and treatment, 93.8% received ursodeoxycholic acid as standard-of-care background therapy. A greater percentage of the patients in the seladelpar group than in the placebo group had a biochemical response (61.7% vs. 20.0%; difference, 41.7 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], 27.7 to 53.4, P<0.001). Normalization of the alkaline phosphatase level also occurred in a greater percentage of patients who received seladelpar than of those who received placebo (25.0% vs. 0%; difference, 25.0 percentage points; 95% CI, 18.3 to 33.2, P<0.001). Seladelpar resulted in a greater reduction in the score on the pruritus numerical rating scale than placebo (least-squares mean change from baseline, -3.2 vs. -1.7; least-squares mean difference, -1.5; 95% CI, -2.5 to -0.5, P = 0.005). Adverse events were reported in 86.7% of the patients in the seladelpar group and in 84.6% in the placebo group, and serious adverse events in 7.0% and 6.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this trial involving patients with primary biliary cholangitis, the percentage of patients who had a biochemical response and alkaline phosphatase normalization was significantly greater with seladelpar than with placebo. Seladelpar also significantly reduced pruritus among patients who had moderate-to-severe pruritus at baseline. The incidence and severity of adverse events were similar in the two groups. (Funded by CymaBay Therapeutics; RESPONSE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04620733; EudraCT number, 2020-004348-27.).

Developing a Prognostic Model for Primary Biliary Cholangitis Based on a Random Survival Forest Model.

Background: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a rare autoimmune liver disease with few effective treatments and a poor prognosis, and its incidence is on the rise. There is an urgent need for more targeted treatment strategies to accurately identify high-risk patients. The use of stochastic survival forest models in machine learning is an innovative approach to constructing a prognostic model for PBC that can improve the prognosis by identifying high-risk patients for targeted treatment. Method: Based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the clinical data and follow-up data of patients diagnosed with PBC-associated cirrhosis between January 2011 and December 2021 at Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province were retrospectively collected and analyzed. Data analyses and random survival forest model construction were based on the R language. Result: Through a Cox univariate regression analysis of 90 included samples and 46 variables, 17 variables with p-values <0.1 were selected for initial model construction. The out-of-bag (OOB) performance error was 0.2094, and K-fold cross-validation yielded an internal validation C-index of 0.8182. Through model selection, cholinesterase, bile acid, the white blood cell count, total bilirubin, and albumin were chosen for the final predictive model, with a final OOB performance error of 0.2002 and C-index of 0.7805. Using the final model, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, which showed significant differences with a P value <0.0001. The area under the curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability for patients in the first, third, and fifth years, with respective results of 0.9595, 0.8898, and 0.9088. Conclusion: The present study constructed a prognostic model for PBC-associated cirrhosis patients using a random survival forest model, which accurately stratified patients into low- and high-risk groups. Treatment strategies can thus be more targeted, leading to improved outcomes for high-risk patients.

Pharmacotherapy for primary biliary cholangitis: an assessment of medication candidacy and rates of treatment.

BACKGROUND: Ursodeoxycholic acid is the preferred first-line therapy for primary biliary cholangitis. Alternative therapies, such as obeticholic acid, are recommended for patients who cannot tolerate ursodeoxycholic acid or who have an inadequate response to ursodeoxycholic acid monotherapy. Prior investigations have suggested that as many as 30% of patients with primary biliary cholangitis may have never received treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid. No prior investigations have examined usage rates of obeticholic acid in the treatment of primary biliary cholangitis. METHODS: All patients with an ICD-10 diagnosis of primary biliary cholangitis who had any records within the health system were included. A review of medical records was performed to confirm the diagnosis of primary biliary cholangitis and determine which medications had been prescribed for treatment, as well as candidacy for second-line therapies. RESULTS: A total of 495 patients met inclusion criteria. Notably, 95% of patients were taking ursodeoxycholic acid for treatment of their primary biliary cholangitis, with 67% of patients having disease that was well-controlled on ursodeoxycholic acid monotherapy. In total, 8% of patients were taking obeticholic acid (either as combination or monotherapy). Only 3% would benefit from the addition of a second line therapy but had not yet been offered medication. Only 3% of patients were not on any medication for management of their primary biliary cholangitis. CONCLUSIONS: Ursodeoxycholic acid is a readily available and generally well-tolerated medication that should be offered to all patients with primary biliary cholangitis as first-line therapy. While prior investigations have suggested that up to 30% of patients with primary biliary cholangitis may never have received treatment for the disorder, the present study suggests that patients are generally being managed according to guidelines. Moreover, a significant proportion of patients with primary biliary cholangitis will qualify for second line therapies and prescribers should be aware of the indications to use these medications.

Evaluation of autoimmune liver disease natural history in patients referred to Middle East Liver Diseases (MELD) center.

BACKGROUND: Autoimmune liver diseases (AILD) are increasing and common forms of chronic liver disease (CLD) with different clinical responses and characteristics which can result in cirrhosis. This study aimed to investigate the natural history and characteristics of AILD in an Iranian population. METHODS: Patients with AILD [Autoimmune Hepatitis (AIH), Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC), Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis (PSC) and Overlap Syndrome (OS)] referred to Middle East Liver Diseases (MELD) center, Tehran, Iran, between January 2002 and December 2022 were included in this retrospective cohort study. The main features of natural history (the trends of liver functional tests (LFT), Auto-Antibodies, response to treatment and cirrhotic status) along with demographic data were studied. RESULTS: Two hundred sixty-five patients (160 (60.4%) AIH, 37 (14.0%) PBC, 20 (7.5%) PSC, 48 (18.1%) overlap syndrome) with a median follow-up time of 5 years (IQR 4 to 8 years) were included. Baseline laboratory tests revealed that patients with AIH exhibit elevated transaminase levels. However, patients suffering from PBC and PSC displayed increased alkaline phosphatase levels. Conversely, in overlap syndrome patients, both transaminases and alkaline phosphatase were observed at high levels. Autoantibodies represented themselves as important diagnostic markers for the AIH and PBC but not for PSC. The complete response occurred in 112 (70%) of and 28 (58.4%) patients with AIH and overlap syndrome respectively and 21 patients 11 (6.9%) of AIH and 10 (20.8%) of overlap syndrome) were non-responders. Other patients in these two categories were considered as insufficient responders. On the other side, 32 (91.9%) and 8 (40%) of patients with PBC and PSC biochemically responded to Ursodeoxycholic Acid (UDCA). Unpredictably, cirrhosis regression was observed in some AIH and PBC patients. CONCLUSION: Appropriate medication management for AILD patients may leads to regression from cirrhosis and improvement of manifestations; while discontinuation of medication may cause relapses. However, patient suffering from PSC showed limited response to treatment.

Optimal drug regimens for improving ALP biochemical levels in patients with primary biliary cholangitis refractory to UDCA: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Up to 40% of UDCA-treated patients do not have an adequate clinical response. Farnesoid X receptor agonists, peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor agonists, and fibroblast growth factor 19 analogs were developed as adjunctive therapy. The aim of this network meta-analysis was to compare the efficacy of these drugs as add-on therapy for patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) refractory to UDCA in improving ALP levels. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library for eligible studies until 1 December 2023. Randomized controlled trials, cohort studies, and case-control studies comparing the efficacy of different combination treatments and UDCA monotherapy in UDCA-refractory PBC patients were included in the analysis. Cumulative probability was used to rank the included treatments. RESULTS: A total of 23 articles were eligible for our network meta-analysis. In terms of improving ALP levels, In terms of improving ALP biochemical levels, bezafibrate combined with UDCA (MD 104.49, 95% CI 60.41, 161.92), fenofibrate combined with UDCA (MD 87.81, 95% CI (52.34, 129.79), OCA combined with UDCA (MD 65.21, 95% CI 8.99, 121.80), seladelpar combined with UDCA (MD 117.39, 95% CI 19.97, 213.95), elafibranor combined with UDCA (MD 140.73, 95% CI 74.34, 209.98), saroglitazar combined with UDCA (MD 132.09, 95% CI 13.99, 247.04) was more effective than UDCA monotherapy. Elafibranor in combination with UDCA was the most likely (32%) to be the optimal drug regimen. CONCLUSION: As second-line therapy for UDCA-refractory PBC, PPAR agonists were more effective than any other drugs with other mechanisms in improving ALP biochemical levels, with elafibranor being the best.

Adequate versus deep response to ursodeoxycholic acid in primary biliary cholangitis: To what extent and under what conditions is normal alkaline phosphatase level associated with complication-free survival gain?

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Normal alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels in ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA)-treated patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) are associated with better long-term outcome. However, second-line therapies are currently recommended only when ALP levels remain above 1.5 times the upper limit of normal (×ULN) after 12-month UDCA. We assessed whether, in patients considered good responders to UDCA, normal ALP levels were associated with significant survival gains. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 1047 patients with PBC who attained an adequate response to UDCA according to Paris-2 criteria. Time to liver-related complications, liver transplantation, or death was assessed using adjusted restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis. The overall incidence rate of events was 17.0 (95% CI: 13.7-21.1) per 1000 out of 4763.2 patient-years. On the whole population, normal serum ALP values (but not normal gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), or aspartate aminotransferase (AST); or total bilirubin < 0.6 ×ULN) were associated with a significant absolute complication-free survival gain at 10 years (mean 7.6 months, 95% CI: 2.7 - 12.6 mo.; p = 0.003). In subgroup analysis, this association was significant in patients with a liver stiffness measurement ≥ 10 kPa and/or age ≤ 62 years, with a 10-year absolute complication-free survival gain of 52.8 months (95% CI: 45.7-59.9, p < 0.001) when these 2 conditions were met. CONCLUSIONS: PBC patients with an adequate response to UDCA and persistent ALP elevation between 1.1 and 1.5 ×ULN, particularly those with advanced fibrosis and/or who are sufficiently young, remain at risk of poor outcome. Further therapeutic efforts should be considered for these patients.

Open-label, clinical trial extension: Two-year safety and efficacy results of seladelpar in patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: Seladelpar is a potent and selective peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-δ agonist that targets multiple cell types involved in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), leading to anti-cholestatic, anti-inflammatory and anti-pruritic effects. AIMS: To evaluate the long-term safety and efficacy of seladelpar in patients with PBC. METHODS: In an open-label, international, long-term extension study, patients with PBC completing seladelpar lead-in studies continued treatment. Seladelpar was taken orally once daily at doses of 5 or 10 mg with dose adjustment permitted for safety or tolerability. The primary analysis was for safety and the secondary efficacy analysis examined biochemical markers of cholestasis and liver injury. The study was terminated early due to the unexpected histological findings in a concurrent study for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, which were subsequently found to predate treatment. Safety and efficacy data were analysed through 2 years. RESULTS: There were no serious treatment-related adverse events observed among 106 patients treated with seladelpar for up to 2 years. There were four discontinuations for safety, one possibly related to seladelpar. Among 53 patients who completed 2 years of seladelpar, response rates increased from years 1 to 2 for the composite endpoint (alkaline phosphatase [ALP] <1.67 × ULN, ≥15% decrease in ALP, and total bilirubin ≤ULN) and ALP normalisation from 66% to 79% and from 26% to 42%, respectively. In those with elevated bilirubin at baseline, 43% achieved normalisation at year 2. CONCLUSIONS: Seladelpar was safe, and markedly improved biochemical markers of cholestasis and liver injury in patients with PBC. These effects were maintained or improved throughout the second year. CLINICALTRIALS: gov: NCT03301506; Clinicaltrialsregister.eu: 2017-003910-16.

Efficacy and Safety of Elafibranor in Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: Primary biliary cholangitis is a rare, chronic cholestatic liver disease characterized by the destruction of interlobular bile ducts, leading to cholestasis and liver fibrosis. Whether elafibranor, an oral, dual peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR) α and δ agonist, may have benefit as a treatment for primary biliary cholangitis is unknown. METHODS: In this multinational, phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned (in a 2:1 ratio) patients with primary biliary cholangitis who had had an inadequate response to or unacceptable side effects with ursodeoxycholic acid to receive once-daily elafibranor, at a dose of 80 mg, or placebo. The primary end point was a biochemical response (defined as an alkaline phosphatase level of <1.67 times the upper limit of the normal range, with a reduction of ≥15% from baseline, and normal total bilirubin levels) at week 52. Key secondary end points were normalization of the alkaline phosphatase level at week 52 and a change in pruritus intensity from baseline through week 52 and through week 24, as measured on the Worst Itch Numeric Rating Scale (WI-NRS; scores range from 0 [no itch] to 10 [worst itch imaginable]). RESULTS: A total of 161 patients underwent randomization. A biochemical response (the primary end point) was observed in 51% of the patients (55 of 108) who received elafibranor and in 4% (2 of 53) who received placebo, for a difference of 47 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI], 32 to 57; P<0.001). The alkaline phosphatase level normalized in 15% of the patients in the elafibranor group and in none of the patients in the placebo group at week 52 (difference, 15 percentage points; 95% CI, 6 to 23; P = 0.002). Among patients who had moderate-to-severe pruritus (44 patients in the elafibranor group and 22 in the placebo group), the least-squares mean change from baseline through week 52 on the WI-NRS did not differ significantly between the groups (-1.93 vs. -1.15; difference, -0.78; 95% CI, -1.99 to 0.42; P = 0.20). Adverse events that occurred more frequently with elafibranor than with placebo included abdominal pain, diarrhea, nausea, and vomiting. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with elafibranor resulted in significantly greater improvements in relevant biochemical indicators of cholestasis than placebo. (Funded by GENFIT and Ipsen; ELATIVE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04526665.).

MGAT5/TMEM163 variant is associated with prognosis in ursodeoxycholic acid-treated patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic immune-mediated liver disease. Previous genome-wide meta-analysis has identified the association between variants in TMEM163 with PBC. Here we aimed to evaluate the association between variants near the reported risk loci of TMEM163 at 2q21.3 and prognosis of PBC patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 347 PBC patients treated with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) for at least 1 year. We collected clinical data at diagnosis and 1 year after UDCA treatment. SNPs within 200 kb upstream and downstream of the lead variant were genotyped and screened. RESULTS: We identified that rs661899 near MGAT5 and TMEM163 showed the strongest association with prognosis in PBC patients. Patients carrying the rs661899 T allele tended to respond incompletely to UDCA treatment and had worse performances in laboratory values including aspartate aminotransferase (53.5 vs 32 vs 28.5 U/L, p = 0.001), alkaline phosphate (157.25 vs 125 vs 113 U/L, p = 0.001), albumin (41.5 vs 42.3 vs 43.7 g/L, p = 0.008) and bilirubin (19.2 vs 14.9 vs 12.85 µmol/L, p = 0.001). GLOBE scores (p = 4.8 × 10-5) and UK-PBC risk scores (p = 4.6 × 10-4) were strongly correlated with rs661899 genotype. Patients with TT genotype had a higher risk for adverse events compared with CC genotype (p = 0.039) during the 1-year follow-up. Results were also verified in an independent cohort. CONCLUSIONS: PBC patients carrying the rs661899 T allele are associated with poor prognosis and adverse outcomes after 1-year UDCA therapy.

Noninvasive prediction of insufficient biochemical response after ursodeoxycholic acid treatment in patients with primary biliary cholangitis based on pretreatment nonenhanced MRI.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the feasibility of pretreatment nonenhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in predicting insufficient biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). METHODS: From January 2009 to April 2022, consecutive PBC patients who were treated with UDCA and underwent nonenhanced MRI within 30 days before treatment were retrospectively enrolled. All MR images were independently evaluated by two blinded radiologists. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a predictive model for 12-month insufficient biochemical response. Model performances were evaluated by computing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: A total of 74 patients (50.6 ± 11.9 years; 62 females) were included. Three pretreatment MRI features, including hepatomegaly (odds ratio [OR]: 4.580; p = 0.011), periportal hyperintensity on T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) (OR: 4.795, p = 0.008), and narrowing of the bile ducts (OR: 3.491; p = 0.027) were associated with 12-month insufficient biochemical response in the multivariable analysis. A predictive model based on the above indicators had an AUC of 0.781, sensitivity of 85.4%, and specificity of 61.5% for predicting insufficient biochemical response. CONCLUSIONS: A noninvasive model based on three pretreatment MRI features could accurately predict 12-month insufficient biochemical response to UDCA in patients with PBC. Early identification of PBC patients at increased risk for insufficient response can facilitate the timely initiation of additional treatment. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: A noninvasive predictive model constructed by incorporating three pretreatment MRI features may help identify patients with primary biliary cholangitis at high risk of insufficient biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid and facilitate the timely initiation of additional treatment. KEY POINTS: • Noninvasive imaging features based on nonenhanced pretreatment MRI may predict an insufficient biochemical response to UDCA in PBC patients. • A combined model based on three MRI features (hepatomegaly, periportal hyperintensity on T2-weighted imaging, and narrowing of the bile ducts) further improved the predictive efficacy for an insufficient biochemical response to UDCA in PBC patients, with high sensitivity and specificity. • The nomogram of the combined model showed good calibration and predictive efficacy for an insufficient biochemical response to UDCA in PBC patients. In particular, the calibration curve visualised the clinical applicability of the prediction model.

New Therapies on the Horizon for Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease that can progress to cirrhosis and hepatic failure if left untreated. Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) was introduced as a first-line drug for PBC around 1990; it remarkably improved patient outcomes, leading to the nomenclature change of PBC in 2015, from primary biliary "cirrhosis" to primary biliary "cholangitis." Nevertheless, 20-30% of patients exhibit an incomplete response to UDCA, resulting in significantly worse outcomes compared to those with a complete response. Therefore, improving the long-term outcomes of patients with an incomplete response to UDCA has been recognized as an unmet need. In addition, patients with PBC often suffer from a variety of debilitating symptoms, such as pruritus, fatigue and sicca syndrome, which significantly impair their health-related quality of life. Thus, appropriate management of these symptoms is currently regarded as another unmet need for PBC treatment. In this review, several compounds and drugs under clinical trials that can potentially solve these unmet needs are comprehensively discussed, and future directions of treatment policy of PBC are proposed for significantly improving long-term outcome as well as health-related quality of life of patients.